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I bought my m850i convertible mid summer. I got what I thought was a good deal by just shopping dealerships.
I don't know the m8 or m8 comp market; however, I'd aim for 10% under invoice.
I got my fully loaded 2019 m850i for 17% under invoice, 28% under MSRP. but it was off the lot, not special order.
I didn't lease, I paid full cash. but I bet you can lease for same price January as March. I've followed the lease rates posted on here and it seems that it's about the same in the 7 months that I've owned my ride.
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